Monday, November 16, 2009

Stocks jump as retail sales rebound in October

Stocks vault higher after retail sales rebound in October; Weakening dollar lifts commodities

By Stephen Bernard and Tim Paradis, AP Business Writers
On 2:21 pm EST, Monday November 16, 2009

NEW YORK (AP) -- Investors kept the stock market's upward momentum going Monday, sending shares sharply higher after retail sales rebounded more than expected in October and the dollar extended its slide.

AP - FILE - In this Sept. 15, 2008 file photo, a Wall St. street sign is seen near the ...
Major stock indexes rose more than 1 percent to new 13-month highs, including the Dow Jones industrial average, which jumped 145 points. The Standard & Poor's 500 index topped 1,110, the first convincing move above 1,100 after hovering around that level for the past month.
The Commerce Department said retail sales rose 1.4 percent in October, easily surpassing the 0.8 percent increase forecast by economists polled by Thomson Reuters. It was a sharp rebound following the 2.3 percent drop in September. Excluding the gain from autos, however, sales rose just 0.2 percent, half of what economists predicted.
Jamie Cox, a managing partner at Harris Financial Group, said the sales growth was a good sign heading into the holiday shopping season, especially because the data were not affected by factors such as sales tax holidays and government stimulus programs that had been present in the preceding months.
The weaker dollar lifted gold to a new record and pumped up prices of other commodities, including oil. That, in turn, helped shares of energy and materials companies.
Stocks briefly pared their gains after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said policymakers would monitor the dollar while at the same time repeating that the Fed will hold interest rates low until the economy strengthens. That gave a short-lived boost to the dollar.
The market's own dynamics fed some of the day's gains, analysts said.
Dan Deming, a trader with Stutland Equities, said the S&P 500's move above 1,100 gave some investors a shot of confidence and led to short-covering, which tends to amplify gains in the market. Short-covering occurs when investors have to buy stock after having earlier sold borrowed shares in a bet they would fall.
"We're breaking through the 1,100 mark, which is psychologically significant, and the market is seeing a little pop from that," Deming said.
In midafternoon trading, the Dow rose 154.86, or 1.5 percent, to 10,425.33. The broader S&P 500 index rose 19.28, or 1.8 percent, to 1,112.76. It traded above 1,100 in mid-October but hasn't closed above that benchmark since October last year. The S&P 500 index first finished above 1,100 more than a decade ago, in March 1998.
The Nasdaq composite index rose 34.52, or 1.6 percent, to 2,202.40.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies advanced 17.21, or 2.9 percent, to 603.49.
The ICE Futures US dollar index, which measures the dollar against other currencies, fell 0.6 percent. Gold reached a record $1,143.40 an ounce.
Investors have been using the weak dollar to finance purchases of higher-yielding assets. The move, what's known as a "carry trade," can further weaken the dollar.
Bond prices rose, pushing down yields. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell to 3.37 percent from 3.42 percent late Friday.
General Motors Co. said it lost $1.2 billion in the period since emerging from bankruptcy and the end of the third quarter on Sept. 30. Despite the loss, GM said it will begin to repay $6.7 billion in government loans and was seeing a stabilization in its business.
Home improvement retailer Lowe's Cos. reported lower profits that matched analysts' expectations and said it was seeing stabilization in some of the hardest hit housing markets. The company's shares fell 6 cents to $21.79.
Investors will get more insight into consumer spending from retailers Home Depot Inc., Target Corp. and TJX Cos., which are due to report earnings Tuesday.
Cox said the wide range of retailers reporting earnings during the week will provide signals into whether shoppers are willing to step up their spending and move back toward more expensive goods. Investors will be parsing any updated forecasts from the companies ahead of the holiday shopping season.
The stock market is coming off a strong week, which added more than 2 percent to major indexes. On Friday the market was buoyed by encouraging earnings reports and outlooks from major retailers Abercrombie & Fitch Co. and J.C. Penney Co. as well as The Walt Disney Co.
Crude oil rose $2.84 to $79.19 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Energy stocks rose. Baker Hughes Inc. rose $2.37, or 5.7 percent, to $43.82, while Devon Energy Corp. advanced $3.93, or 5.8 percent, to $71.66.
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. rose $3.37, or 4.1 percent, to $84.94.
Ten stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 624.9 million shares compared with 557.4 million shares traded at the same point Friday.
Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 0.2 percent after that country's economy grew for the second straight quarter, marking an end to the recession there.
Investors also drew confidence from the results of the 21-member Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, which said it would maintain stimulus spending until a global economic recovery is at hand.
Britain's FTSE 100 rose 1.6 percent, Germany's DAX index gained 2.1 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 1.5 percent.

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